Classifying Seismic Events Linked to Solar Activity: A Retrospective LSTM Approach Using Proton Density

The influence of solar activity on seismic activity is a subject of debate. Previous studies have shown that there is sometimes a correlation and sometimes a contradiction between solar activity maxima and large earthquakes. Long-term memory neural network is used to study the relationship between solar activity and seismic activity. This study emphasizes retrospective classification rather than direct prediction, refining the LSTM architecture to maximize classification accuracy and processing data from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalogs. A declustering technique is used to select large seismic events and weighted learning corrects for class imbalances. The LSTM model accurately classified earthquakes (84.47%) and proton density variations. The results support the theory that solar activity, in particular proton density, can anticipate earthquake events.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmosphere
Published
2024-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15111290
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.34
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article

Classifying Seismic Events Linked to Solar Activity: A Retrospective LSTM Approach Using Proton Density

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article

Classifying Seismic Events Linked to Solar Activity: A Retrospective LSTM Approach Using Proton Density

Marat Nurtas, Zhumabek Zhantayev, Beibit Tenelovich Zhumabayev, Aizhan Altaibek, Ayazhan Kumarkhanova
article en
10 citations

Abstract

The influence of solar activity on seismic activity is a subject of debate. Previous studies have shown that there is sometimes a correlation and sometimes a contradiction between solar activity maxima and large earthquakes. Long-term memory neural network is used to study the relationship between solar activity and seismic activity. This study emphasizes retrospective classification rather than direct prediction, refining the LSTM architecture to maximize classification accuracy and processing data from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalogs. A declustering technique is used to select large seismic events and weighted learning corrects for class imbalances. The LSTM model accurately classified earthquakes (84.47%) and proton density variations. The results support the theory that solar activity, in particular proton density, can anticipate earthquake events.

AtmosphereVol. 15(11)
Kazakh-British Technical University (KZ), International Information Technologies University (KZ), Ionosphere Institute (KZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
5.34
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