Unveiling the germination patterns of Alternaria porri (Ellis) by using regression analysis and hydrothermal time modeling

Purple blotch disease is a major fungal disease of Allium cepa L. plants which is caused by the fungus Alternaria porri. The best conditions for the growth of Alternaria porri are temperatures between 22 °C and 25 °C and relatively high humidity. The Hydrotime, Thermal Time, and Hydrothermal Time models were used to measure different parameters of seed germination; therefore, we used them to measure the interactive effects of temperature and water potential on the germination conidia of Alternaria porri. The laboratory experiments were carried out at five constant temperatures, between 5 and 30 °C, and five different water potentials between 0 MPa and - 6 MPa. The germination of Alternaria porri conidia was highest at 25 °C and 0 MPa and lowest at 5 °C and - 6 MPa. The percentage of conidia germination decreased rapidly after 25 ^oC. Conidia germination was also affected by different water potentials, decreasing at lower water potential. Models based on HTT showed a reasonable fit to the germination and growth rate datasets. The best fitting model for conidia germination (R² = 0.98491) was based on variable base and maximum temperature as a function of water potential. Based on the TT, HT, and models, the highest and lowest values for θT1 were observed at -6.0 MPa at 30 °C, and 0 MPa at 5 °C and the highest and lowest θT2 values were recorded at -6.0 MPa at 5 °C and 0 MPa at 30 °C while the lowest and highest θH values were recorded at -6.0 MPa at 5 °C and 0 MPa at 25 °C, respectively, for the HTT model, the predicted θHTT average value is 16.32 (MPa°Ch-1). Based on the statistical analysis, the cardinal hydrothermal time constant (θHTT) accurately explains the interactive effect of T and Ψ on the germination of Alternaria porri conidia under different environmental conditions.