Causal association of serum calcium, phosphate, vitamin D, parathyroid hormone, and FGF23 with the risk of aortic stenosis

Abstract Aim Disorders of mineral metabolism, including elevated levels of serum calcium, phosphate, 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OH-VitD), parathyroid hormone (PTH), and fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), have been reported in patients with calcific aortic valve stenosis (CAVS). However, evidence of the causal role of mineral metabolism in CAVS is still lacking. We aimed to investigate the causality between mineral metabolism and CAVS. Methods A systematic pipeline combining Mendelian randomization (MR), Steiger directionality test, colocalization analysis, protein-protein network, and enrichment analysis was applied to investigate the causal effect. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) and protein quantitative trait loci data for mineral metabolism markers were extracted from large-scale meta-analyses. Summary statistics for CAVS were obtained from two independent GWAS datasets as discovery and replication cohorts (n=374,277 and 653,867). Results In MR analysis, genetic mimicry of serum FGF23 elevation was associated with increased CAVS risk [ORdiscovery=3.081 (1.649-5.760), Pdiscovery=4.21×10-4; ORreplication=2.280 (1.461-3.558), Preplication=2.82×10-4] without evidence of reverse causation (Psteiger=7.21×10-98). Strong colocalisation association with CAVS was observed for FGF23 expression in the blood (PP.H4 = 0.96). Additionally, we identified some protein-protein interactions between FGF23 and known CAVS causative genes. Serum calcium, phosphate, 25OH-VitD, and PTH failed to show causal effects on CAVS at Bonferroni-corrected significance (all P>0.05/5=0.01). Conclusions Elevated serum FGF23 level is a causal risk factor for CAVS, and its mechanism of action in CAVS development may be independent of its function in regulating mineral metabolism. Hence, FGF23 may serve as a circulating marker and a promising preventive target for CAVS, warranting further investigation.