Do markets pay attention to political disinformation?

• Fake news has proliferated in political campaigns. • This paper examines fake news during the 2016 US presidential election. • Financial markets in the US saw no change in returns during high fake news days. • Fake news dampened market volatility. • Pro-Hillary Clinton fake news dampened market volatility the most. They do, but not in ways one might think. Using an example from the 2016 Presidential election in the United States, we show that days with heavy doses of disinformation related to the candidates do not affect broad index stock returns. However, disinformation that was strongly pro-Hillary Clinton was associated with a substantial lowering of conditional volatility of stocks, even when controlling for other macroeconomic news and news sentiment.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2024-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106366
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Media Influence and Politics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.40
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Do markets pay attention to political disinformation?

Christopher A. Hartwell, Elena Hubschmid-Vierheilig
3 citations
Finance research letters
Media Influence and Politics
3.40
article

Do markets pay attention to political disinformation?

Christopher A. Hartwell, Elena Hubschmid-Vierheilig
article en
3 citations

Abstract

• Fake news has proliferated in political campaigns. • This paper examines fake news during the 2016 US presidential election. • Financial markets in the US saw no change in returns during high fake news days. • Fake news dampened market volatility. • Pro-Hillary Clinton fake news dampened market volatility the most. They do, but not in ways one might think. Using an example from the 2016 Presidential election in the United States, we show that days with heavy doses of disinformation related to the candidates do not affect broad index stock returns. However, disinformation that was strongly pro-Hillary Clinton was associated with a substantial lowering of conditional volatility of stocks, even when controlling for other macroeconomic news and news sentiment.

Finance research lettersVol. 70
Kozminski University (PL), ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Sciences (CH)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Media Influence and Politics
3.40
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.