Analysis of Rumor Propagation Model Based on Coupling Interaction Between Official Government and Media Websites

The COVID-19 pandemic has not only brought a virus to the public, but also spawned a large number of rumors. The Internet has made it very convenient for media websites to record and spread rumors, while the official government, as the subject of rumor control, can release rumor-refutation information to reduce the harm of rumors. Therefore, this study took into account information-carrying variables, such as media websites and official governments, and expanded the classic ISR rumor propagation model into a five-dimensional, two-level rumor propagation model that interacts between the main body layer and the information layer. Based on the constructed model, the mean field equation was obtained. Through mathematical analysis, the equilibrium point and the basic reproduction number of rumors were calculated. At the same time, stability analysis was conducted using the Routh Hurwitz stability criterion. Finally, a numerical simulation verified that when the basic regeneration number was less than 1, rumors disappeared in the system; when the basic regeneration number was greater than 1, rumors continued to exist in the system and rumors erupted. The executive power of the official government to dispel rumors, that is, the effectiveness of the government, played a decisive role in suppressing the spread of rumors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Systems
Published
2024-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12110451
Primary Topic
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Analysis of Rumor Propagation Model Based on Coupling Interaction Between Official Government and Media Websites

Bo Xie, Yingying Cheng, Qianshun Yuan, T.Y. Yang
Systems
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
article

Analysis of Rumor Propagation Model Based on Coupling Interaction Between Official Government and Media Websites

Bo Xie, Yingying Cheng, Qianshun Yuan, T.Y. Yang
article en

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has not only brought a virus to the public, but also spawned a large number of rumors. The Internet has made it very convenient for media websites to record and spread rumors, while the official government, as the subject of rumor control, can release rumor-refutation information to reduce the harm of rumors. Therefore, this study took into account information-carrying variables, such as media websites and official governments, and expanded the classic ISR rumor propagation model into a five-dimensional, two-level rumor propagation model that interacts between the main body layer and the information layer. Based on the constructed model, the mean field equation was obtained. Through mathematical analysis, the equilibrium point and the basic reproduction number of rumors were calculated. At the same time, stability analysis was conducted using the Routh Hurwitz stability criterion. Finally, a numerical simulation verified that when the basic regeneration number was less than 1, rumors disappeared in the system; when the basic regeneration number was greater than 1, rumors continued to exist in the system and rumors erupted. The executive power of the official government to dispel rumors, that is, the effectiveness of the government, played a decisive role in suppressing the spread of rumors.

SystemsVol. 12(11)
Shanghai University of Political Science and Law (CN), Henan University of Science and Technology (CN)
Henan Office of Philosophy and Social Science, National Natural Science Foundation of China
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
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