Characterizing Risk Profiles and Transitions across Living and Care Settings in Sweden

Abstract Background Older adults are at increased risk of frequent healthcare transitions between health care (hospitals) and social care providers (formal care and institutions). Therefore, our objective was to quantify and characterize the potential risk profiles of multiple transitions between living and care settings for older adults. Methods Data were obtained from the National E-Infrastructure for Aging Research (NEAR), including the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care (SNAC) and the National Patient Register, to evaluate living and care transitions of over 7,000 individuals aged 60+, across homes, formal care, nursing homes, hospitals, and post-acute facilities. A multi-state model was used to represent moving likelihood. Results Over 15 years, the average length of stay was two years at home, one year in home care, one year in institutionalization, eight days in the hospital, and 17 days in post-acute facilities. Older age and being a woman increased the chance of receiving home care after hospital discharge (Hazard Ratio [HR] range 1.35-4.38, 1.06-1.08), whereas multimorbidity and slow walking speed were associated with an 11%-50% increased hazard of hospitalization and home care. Generally, cognitive impairment increased the hazard of institutionalization (HR range 1.99-2.15), and disability was associated with a higher hazard of nursing home placement (HR range 2.57-3.07). Conclusions These findings underscore that care transition patterns are associated with different sociodemographic, clinical, and functional characteristics. This highlights the complex and dynamic interplay between these characteristics and social and health care use. Key messages • The study emphasizes that hospitalization is a major driver of transitions between living and care settings for older adults. • Age, gender, multimorbidity, walking speed, cognitive impairment, and disability all play a role in shaping older adults’ transition patterns between different care settings.