Using HIS administrative data for initial assessment of comorbid patients’ status (Covid-19 case)

Abstract Background Despite numerous published articles, most of the studies on COVID-19 focused on influence of clinical characteristics and treatments on severity. Yet, the epidemiological viewpoint was rarely discussed. Based on our experience with comorbid hospitalized COVID-19 patients, we aim to show that HIS administrative data can be used to identify individuals that are more prone to worse outcome thus improving patient management not only during pandemics. Methods A retrospective single-center study was conducted using archived anonymized HIS administrative data for all 8319 COVID-19 patients in the university hospital ‘Saint Marina’-Varna, Bulgaria, in the period 14/06/2020-31/12/2021. Up to 7 comorbidities per patient were registered in HIS with ICD-10 codes, used for our analyses. Non-parametric tests and logistic regression were used at α=.05, 95%CI. Results Comorbid patients were 5741(69%), 50.3% ≥69y, 52% male; 1602(27.9%) died, 64% ≥69y, 54.4% male. Deceased were older (p< .01) and had more comorbidities (p< .01). Multimorbid patients (OR = 4.43; 3.80-5.17), male (OR = 4.72; 3.83-5.82) and older ones (OR = 1.91; 1.57-2.34) had higher odds of dying. The odds of dying increased with the number of comorbidities from OR=.635; .559-.721 for 1 to OR = 4.23; 3.28-5.46 for 7. From 4967 comorbid diseases (451 ICD-10 codes), only those from code groups A, J, N, E, I, Z were suitable for analysis. Patients with A41.9 (OR = 213.69; 52.88-863.43), J80 (OR = 52.88; 32.58-85.56), N17 (OR = 18.63; 10.24-33.87), E11.7 (OR = 4.72; 3.09-7.19), I13.2 (OR = 4.67; 3.151-6.93), Z95 (OR = 3.81; 2.74-5.31), I63 (OR = 3.56; 2.25-5.61), E66 (OR = 3.12; 2.10-4.64) died more often. Conclusions Our findings match the results based on EMR data: death with COVID-19 was associated with comorbidities (sepsis, acute RDS and kidney, heart and renal failure, diabetes, cerebral infarction, obesity, implants and grafts), age, gender, i.e. HIS administrative data can be used for quick assessment of comorbid patients’ status. Key messages • HIS administrative data can be used for quick assessment of multimorbidity and following personalized treatment is highly recommended to decrease hospital mortality not only in times of pandemic. • Older Bulgarians have many comorbidities from ICD code groups A, J, N, E, I, Z, and are more prone to death, especially in times of pandemic. Public health measures are needed to prevent comorbidity.