Long-term prognosis in patients undergoing atrial fibrillation ablation

Abstract Aims The aim of the analysis was to assess the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence in the long-term observation of contemporary patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI), who did not have recurrence during the first year after catheter ablation. Methods Retrospective analysis has been performed. Inclusion criteria: (1) the patients undergoing their first PVI in years 2017–2022, (2) the electroanatomical system, contact force catheters and lesion indexes (Ablation Index or Lesion Size Index) were used, (3) no recurrences were observed during the first 12 months of follow-up, and (4) follow-up longer than 12 months was available. Demographic, clinical and echocardiographic data were collected. Follow-up was based on ambulatory visits with ECG/holter monitoring or implanted device interrogation, when available. Results A total of 247 patients were included. The median follow-up was 22 months (interquartile range, 16–31 months). After 24 months, ablation efficacy was 84%, and after 36 months, it was 72%. In the univariate Cox regression analysis, age, previous electrical cardioversion, glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the presence of coronary artery disease were linked to AF-free survival. Interestingly, nonparoxysmal AF, left atrial (LA) dimension, heart failure, hypertension or diabetes were not linked to the risk of long-term recurrences. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, presence of coronary artery disease and previous electrical cardioversion were independently linked to the risk of long-term recurrence. In 127 (51.4%) patients, information about the presence of low voltage areas (LVA) was available, and in 21 (16.5%) patients in this group, the presence of LVA was found. Survival of patients with LVA was strikingly worse than that of those without (Figure 1), log-rank test p <0.0001. Conclusions Patients who had no recurrences within one year after PVI, still have substantial risk of recurrence in the next 2 years. That concerns specially the patients who had LVA in the electroanatomical mapping.