Altered fibrin clot properties and elevated von Willebrand Factors level are associated with progression to permanent atrial fibrillation during follow-up: a cohort study

Abstract Introduction Little is known about association of prothrombotic markers and atrial fibrillation (AF) progression to permanent arrythmia (PerAF). Formation of denser and poorly lysable fibrin clots have been observed in AF including patients with sinus rhythm in association with stroke and bleeding risk. We investigated whether altered fibrin clot properties and other prothrombotic state markers may contribute to AF transition to PerAF. Methods In the cohort study, in 226 anticoagulated AF patients (median age 69 years, median CHA2DS2-VASc of 3)with paroxysmal (n=83, 36.7%) or persistent (n=143, 63.3%) arrythmia we assessed at baseline plasma clot permeability (Ks), lysis time (CLT), and fibrinolysis involved proteins, including plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1) along with von Willebrand factor (vWF) antigen. We recorded patients with PerAF during a median follow-up of 58 months. Results PerAF was documented in 62 (27.4%, 5.7%/year) subjects. These patients were older, with larger prevalence of heart failure (HF), higher body mass index by 9.6%, more often presented persistent AF and had longer history of arrythmia by 60%. We observed by 25.7% longer CLT and similar Ks, compared with the remainders, along with higher levels of vWF by 29% and PAI-1 by 21.3%. By multivariable analysis CLT, vWF and HF were independently associated with PerAF (R2=0.697, P<0.001). A cut-off CLT value of ≥105 min had a sensitivity of 88.7% and specificity of 78.7% in prediction of PerAF (area under curve 0.892, 95% confidence interval 0.848-0.935, P<0.001). Conclusion Impaired global fibrinolysis and elevated vWF levels are independently associated with faster progression to PerAF despite anticoagulation.Figure1