Atrial fibrillation detection on implantable loop recorders in embolic stroke of undetermined source

Abstract Introduction Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) represents 17% of all ischaemic strokes, and has a 5% annual stroke recurrence risk. Recent large randomised control trials failed to demonstrate a benefit of empirical anticoagulation for all ESUS patients, with sub-analyses supporting the need for a tailored approach to those patients at greatest risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) development. Understanding how the increased incidence of ILR-detected AF in the ESUS cohort, compares with ILR-detected AF in other cohorts is an essential step in understanding the significance of this finding. Purpose To compare the incidence of ILR-detected AF following ESUS against patients undergoing ILR implantation for non-stroke indications for example syncope and palpitations. Methods We retrospectively studied all patients without known AF who were referred to our institution for ILR implantation following ESUS, syncope or palpitations from 2009 to 2019. The primary endpoint was any detection of AF or atrial flutter (AFL) by ILR. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox-regression analyses were utilised to account for time-to-event. Results A total of 750 patients were included and followed up for a mean of 731 days (SD 443). An ILR was implanted following ESUS in 323 patients and for another reason in 427 patients (figure 1). The incidence of AF was significantly higher among patients with ESUS compared to the non-ESUS group; 48.6% versus 13.8% (for any duration of AF) and 32.2% versus 12.4% (for AF lasting > 30 seconds) both p <0.001. Kaplan-Meier analysis (figure 2), showed significantly higher incidence of AF for ESUS for any duration of AF. This was driven predominantly by AF duration <6 minutes and between 5.5 hours and 24 hours. Importantly, in a multivariable Cox regression analysis, ESUS independently conferred an almost 5-fold increase in the hazard for any duration of AF (Hazard Ratio 4.948, 95% confidence interval 3.587 – 6.825, p<0.001). Conclusion The incidence of AF is significantly higher amongst ESUS versus non-ESUS patients monitored constantly by an ILR. A high number of ESUS survivors have short duration AF episodes. Further work is needed to determine the optimal treatment strategy of these AF episodes in ESUS considering AF duration and overall burden.