Cost-effectiveness of respiratory syncytial virus adjuvanted vaccine in Portuguese aged ≥ 60 years

Abstract Background Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections are one of the leading causes of lower respiratory tract disease among adults aged ≥60 years in Europe. This study aims to assess the potential public health impact of the RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine, the first approved preventive intervention for the older adult population in Portugal. Methods A monthly-cycle static Markov model was developed to assess RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine impact on adults aged 60 years and older in Portugal. A single dose of RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine was compared to no-vaccination over a three-year time-horizon. The model captures lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) RSV cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and healthcare resource utilization. Data inputs were based on local published literature, supplemented by the best available data when local information was lacking. Results Based on preliminary analysis considering 75% vaccine coverage, model outputs estimate that RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine can prevent 71,433 LRTD cases requiring medical attendance, 11,067 hospitalizations, 1,793 intensive care unit admissions and 1,003 deaths. The model estimates that 32 adults need to be vaccinated to avoid one RSV LRTD case, 207 adults need to be vaccinated to avoid one hospitalization and 2,283 adults need to be vaccinated to avoid one death. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was estimated at 9,541€, hence the RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine is cost-effective compared to no vaccination. Conclusions The results demonstrate a strong preventive impact of the RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine on health outcomes and healthcare resource utilization in adults ≥60 years, leading to a significant public health benefit. This result emphasizes the importance of preventing RSV to preserve the health and well-being of Portugal’s older adults. In addition, data from ongoing studies may enhance precision and extensive sensitivity analyses validate the robustness of the model’s input assumptions. Key messages • This study shows the robust evidence of RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine to improve public health by preventing thousands of hospitalizations and deaths among ≥60 years, in Portugal. • Vaccinating adults aged ≥ 60 years with RSVPreF3 OA adjuvanted vaccine in Portugal is a cost-effective strategy.