Are post-communist countries paying increased healthcare costs because of risky behaviour?

Abstract Background Based on the annual Country Health Profiles, we can see the difference in population behaviour across EU countries and the associated health risks. At first glance, the so-called post-communist countries are characterised by above-average per-capita harmful consumption of sin goods, alcohol and tobacco. Is this harmful consumption associated with increased healthcare costs? Methods The idea of the study is based on balanced panel-data published in Country Health Profiles. The member countries were divided into groups based on their health risk scores - high risk (above average), and low risk (below average). The group of countries with high risk is mostly composed of post-communist countries. The detailed per-capita annual data for the period 2013-2021 was collected, such as GDP, consumption of sin goods, alcohol, and tobacco. The analysis is based on fixed-effects linear regression models, following recent recommendations on suppressing the excessive role of statistical-inference tools. Results We built various models for different groups of countries, and in this abstract, we present results for the group of post-communist countries - a simple model of harmful consumption (sin goods, GDP) and a more complex model (alcohol, tobacco, GDP). The results show that in the case of the post-communist countries group, for a fixed level of GDP per capita, higher consumption of sin goods by EUR 1 per capita corresponds with total healthcare expenditures higher by EUR 0.244 per capita. For a fixed level of GDP per capita and tobacco consumption per capita, higher consumption of alcohol by EUR 1 per capita corresponds with total healthcare expenditures higher by EUR 1.367 per capita. Conclusions Harmful consumption has a multiplier effect in the health sector; besides direct impact, it influences an increase in healthcare expenditures. More emphasis should be placed on prevention and awareness of consumers to reduce harmful consumption. Key messages • For fixed GDP per capita, higher harmful consumption corresponds with higher healthcare costs in post-communist countries. • For fixed GDP per capita and tobacco consumption per capita, a €1 higher alcohol consumption corresponds with more than €1 higher healthcare expenditure in the post-communist countries.