Postoperative atrial fibrillation following noncardiac surgery is associated with long-term heart failure: insights from a nationwide cohort

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with the development of heart failure (HF). Whether postoperative AF (POAF) also confers a greater risk of HF is unclear. Purpose To investigate the long-term rate of incident HF in patients developing new-onset POAF after noncardiac surgery relative to patients who did not develop POAF after noncardiac surgery. Methods In this cohort study, the Danish nationwide registries were used to identify all patients aged ≥30 years who developed POAF following noncardiac, nonobstetric surgery from 1996 to 2020. These patients were matched in a 1:3 ratio by age, sex, type of surgery, selected comorbidities, and year of inclusion with patients without POAF after noncardiac surgery. The primary outcome was incident HF. Secondary outcomes were HF hospitalization and all-cause mortality. Results A total of 2,270 patients with POAF were matched with 6,810 patients without POAF (median age: 75 years [25th-75th percentile: 67-82 years]; 53.5% females). The median follow-up was 7.2 years. Compared with patients without POAF, those with POAF had a higher associated long-term rate of incident HF (2.6 versus 1.2 events per 100 person-years; HR 2.39 [95% CI 2.06-2.78]]), HF hospitalization (2.2 versus 1.0 events per 100 person-years; HR 2.33 [95% CI 1.97-2.74]), and all-cause mortality (9.8 versus 7.4 events per 100-person-years; HR 1.55 [95% CI 1.45-1.66]) (Figure 1). Conclusions Patients with new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation following noncardiac surgery had a higher associated long-term rate of incident heart failure compared to those without postoperative atrial fibrillation following noncardiac surgery. These findings highlight the importance of increased awareness among physicians of the risk of adverse outcomes, including heart failure, in patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation after noncardiac surgery. Closer postoperative follow-up and monitoring, as well as aggressive treatment of cardiovascular risk factors, may be warranted to reduce the risk of adverse outcomes in these patients.