Incident HFpEF and time-dependent changes in markers of LVDD severity in women and men with pre-clinical LVDD

Abstract Background Over time, left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) can progress towards heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Yet, the identification of those at high risk of progression is challenging, and guidance on follow-up or preventive treatment is lacking. Purpose To study the incidence of HFpEF and changes over time in markers of LVDD severity in women and men with pre-clinical LVDD. In addition, we evaluate whether blood pressure and kidney function affect progression of LVDD. Methods We reinvited 146 participants from the HELPFul study (58% women and 42% men) with pre-clinical LVDD after a median follow-up of 4.3 [IQR: 3.9-4.7] years (Figure 1). The follow-up measurements were similar to baseline and encompassed a structured interview, physical examination, blood draw, electrocardiogram and (exercise) echocardiography. We determined HFpEF incidence and report changes over time in cardiovascular risk factors as well as echocardiographic characteristics and biomarkers of LVDD. Additionally, we studied whether changes in blood pressure and kidney function affected LVDD progression using generalized mixed models. LVDD progression was defined as an increase in plasma NT-proBNP levels and HFA-PEFF major functional and morphological abnormalities. All analyses were performed for women and men combined as well as stratified by sex. Results Fifteen (10%) of the 146 participants developed HF of whom 13 had HFpEF (9 women and 4 men) during follow-up. Over time, systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels remained stable while mean kidney function (eGFR) declined from 89±14 to 81±17 mL/min/1.73m2. Median NT-proBNP plasma levels increased from 71 [IQR: 44, 120] to 100 [IQR: 51, 157] pg/mL. The prevalence of major functional abnormalities according to the HFA-PEFF score increased from 84 to 91%, while the prevalence of morphological abnormalities increased from 25% to 39% (Figure 2). A higher systolic blood pressure in women and a higher diastolic blood pressure in men was associated with an increase in NT-proBNP plasma levels over time. Additionally, lower eGFR levels were related to increased NT-proBNP plasma levels over time in both men and women. There was a significant rise in the prevalence of major functional and morphological abnormalities with time, but blood pressure and kidney function did not affect this change over time. Conclusions A small proportion of women and men with preclinical LVDD developed incident HF over a 5-year follow-up period. High blood pressure and reduced kidney function were associated with increased levels of NT-proBNP over time. This highlights the need to further explore cardiorenal protection as a method to prevent HFpEF.Study design and HF outcomesLongitudinal changes in LVDD markers