Exome sequencing in over 63,000 patients in TIMI trials uncovers pathogenic cardiomyopathy variant carriers with high risk for heart failure and cardiovascular death

Abstract Background Rare genetic variants predisposing to cardiomyopathy (CMP) confer increased risk for adverse events. The prevalence of CMP variants in contemporary cardiovascular (CV) trials and their association with prevalent heart failure (HF) and incident HF hospitalizations (HHF) is not established. Purpose We aimed to identify carriers of rare pathogenic/likely pathogenic (PLP) variants for dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), and arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) in well-phenotyped clinical trial cohorts and to evaluate their prognostic significance. Methods Rare variants were identified from high-quality exome sequencing data from 5 large clinical trials (ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48, SAVOR-TIMI 53, PEGASUS-TIMI 54, DECLARE-TIMI 58, FOURIER (TIMI 59)). Putatively pathogenic variants for cardiomyopathy were identified using phenotype- and gene-specific curation of protein-truncating variants and high-confidence variant classifications from ClinVar. We conducted logistic regression for prevalent disease and Cox proportional hazard models for incident HHF, both adjusted by age, sex, trial, and first 10 principal components and using those without CMP variants as the reference. Sensitivity analysis by history of HF at baseline was performed for prospective outcomes. Results In 63,700 participants, we identified 866 CMP variant carriers of which 518 identified as DCM carriers (age 65±9 yrs, male 66%), 194 HCM carriers (65.5±9 yrs, male 69%), and 125 ARVC carriers (66±9 yrs, male 77%). Out of the 518 DCM variant carriers, 402 had a PLP variant in TTN. DCM variant carriers had higher odds of history of HF (Odds ratio [OR] 1.94, 1.57-2.39, p<0.0001) whereas this was not observed for HCM variant carriers (OR 1.18, 0.85-1.65, p=0.33) or ARVC variant carriers (OR 1.23, 0.80-1.90, p=0.35). Over a mean follow-up of 2.5 years, the rate of HHF was significantly higher for DCM variant carriers (Hazard ratio [HR] 1.58, 1.14-2.20, p=0.006), HCM variant carriers (HR 2.78, 1.87-4.13, p<0.001), and ARVC variant carriers (HR 1.89, 1.02-3.53, p=0.04). These associations were, if anything, stronger in patients without HF at baseline (HR 2.06, 1.30-3.25) than in patients with HF at baseline (HR 1.48, 1.12-1.95). DCM variant carriers also had a higher rate of CV death (HR 1.50, 1.05-2.12, p=0.02), which was not observed for HCM (HR 1.10, 0.57-2.11, p=0.78) or ARVC (HR 0.35, 0.09-1.41, p=0.14) variant carriers. Conclusion In 5 contemporary CV trials, CMP variant carriers have an increased rate of HHF, while DCM variant carriers also have a higher rate of CV death. These findings motivate better identification of these high-risk individuals and the incorporation of genetic testing in CV trials.