Long-term prognosis and predictors of death in chronic Chagas cardiomyopathy in women and men

Abstract Background Chronic Chagas cardiomyopathy (CCC) is one of the leading causes of heart failure (HF) in Latin America and carries high morbidity and mortality. Previous studies showed conflicting results in epidemiological and clinical evidence of a gender-associated risk of death in patients with HF due to CCC. Purpose This study analysed the long-term prognosis and the main predictors of death in women and men with HF due to CCC. Methods From March 2009 to January 2023, we followed a cohort of outpatients with HF due to CCC. Specific serological tests diagnosed Chagas disease. Baseline data included clinical characteristics and echocardiographic findings. Statistical analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method to analyse time-to-event data and Cox proportional hazards methods to search for predictors of death. Results We studied 739 patients, with a mean age of 57.0 ± 12.1 years, 387 (52%) male. Women had a higher mean age (58.4 ± 11.7 vs. 55.8 ± 12.3 years; p=0.001), had a higher mean baseline left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (44.3±14.5 % vs. 37.0±14.5%; p<0.001) and a smaller left ventricular diastolic diameter (LVDD) (56.8±8.9 vs. 62.5±9.4 mm; p<0.001). Over a median follow-up period of 10 years, 213 (56%) men and 169 (44%) women died (K-M: log-rank p=0.043; Figure). Men received more beta-blocker therapy (52.4% vs. 47.6%; p=0.040) and had a higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) (p=0.003) and stroke (p=0.007). HFpEF was more prevalent in women and HFrEF in men (p<0.001). Device implantation and transplant were similar between women and men. Cox regression analysis for death adjusted for age, sex, myocardial infarction, diabetes, CKD, stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF), and LVEF showed LVEF (HR= 0.98;95%CL:0.97-0.98), age (HR=1.03;95%CL1.02-1.04) and CKD (HR= 1.32;95%CL:1.10-1.64) as the main predictors of death. In men, the main predictors were age (HR=1.02;95%CL:1.01-1.04), CKD (HR=1.409;95%CL:1.07-1.86), and LVEF (HR=0.98;95%CL:0.97-0.99), and in women AF (HR=1.41;95%CL:1.03-1.91), age (HR=1.03;95%CL:1.01-1.04), and LVEF (HR=0.97;95%CL:0.96 -0.98). Conclusion women had a better prognosis than men, but gender was not an independent predictor of death. Prevention of comorbidities, especially CKD in men and AF in women, and higher beta-blocker therapy can significantly reduce the death rate in women and men with HF from CCC.