Risk of death in patients with early cardiovascular complications following ischaemic stroke: an individual patient data pooled analysis from the VISTA database

Abstract Background Early cardiovascular complications may occur in patients following ischaemic stroke (stroke-heart-syndrome, SHS). We investigated the risk of death in patients with SHS, and across the SHS manifestations. Methods Data were sought from the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive (VISTA), an international repository of clinical trials data. We reviewed relevant adverse events and classified patients into two cohorts based on the incidence of cardiovascular complications within 30 days post-stroke (acute coronary syndrome [ACS] including acute myocardial injury, heart failure [HF]/left ventricular [LV] dysfunction, atrial fibrillation [AF]/atrial flutter [AFL], other arrhythmia/ ECG abnormalities, and cardio-respiratory arrest [CRA]), i.e. those with SHS and those with stroke-only (without SHS). Using Cox proportional hazards model, we evaluated the 90-day risk of death trajectories associated with SHS. We also compared the 90-day risk of death across SHS manifestations excluding CRA, using multivariate analysis. Results Among 15,054 patients with ischaemic stroke (mean age 72±11 years; 55% male), 1,787 (11.8%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.3-12.3, Table 1) developed SHS, with incidence peaked at day 3 post-stroke (interquartile range: 2-5). Other arrhythmia/ECG abnormalities were the most prevalent (6.5%; 95%CI: 6.1-6.9), followed by AF/AFL, HF/LV dysfunction, ACS/acute myocardial injury, and CRA. Patients who developed SHS between 10-30 days post-stroke had significantly higher risks of death compared to those with SHS within the first 0-3 days (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 2.13 [1.57-2.89]). In the multivariate-adjusted analysis which includes 13 background factors such as age and sex, SHS manifested as ACS/acute myocardial injury and HF/LV dysfunction were associated with highest risk of death within 90-day post-stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI], HR 2.13 (1.08-4.18) and HR 2.28 (1.42-3.66), respectively, Figure 1). Conclusions Stroke-heart syndrome is associated with high risk of death, with greater risk observed with the delayed SHS onset. Among the SHS manifestations, ACS/acute myocardial injury and HF/LV dysfunction were associated with the highest risk of death post-stroke.Figure 1