Boundary-Aware Periodicity-based Sparsification Strategy for Ultra-Long Time Series Forecasting

In various domains such as transportation, resource management, and weather forecasting, there is an urgent need for methods that can provide predictions over a sufficiently long time horizon to encompass the period required for decision-making and implementation. Compared to traditional time series forecasting, ultra-long time series forecasting requires enhancing the model's ability to infer long time series, while maintaining inference costs within an acceptable range. To address this challenge, we propose the Boundary-Aware Periodicity-based sparsification strategy for Ultra-Long time series forecasting (BAP-UL).This method effectively captures periodic features in time series and reorganizes inputs and outputs into shorter sub-sequences for improved prediction accuracy. In the paper, we investigate several commonly used benchmark datasets and demonstrate that the proposed method can yield comparable performance across them.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3664647.3681701
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
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Boundary-Aware Periodicity-based Sparsification Strategy for Ultra-Long Time Series Forecasting

Chenyang Xu, Shuo Shi, Hao Zhou, Chao Peng, Yiying Bao, Kecheng Cai
article en

Abstract

In various domains such as transportation, resource management, and weather forecasting, there is an urgent need for methods that can provide predictions over a sufficiently long time horizon to encompass the period required for decision-making and implementation. Compared to traditional time series forecasting, ultra-long time series forecasting requires enhancing the model's ability to infer long time series, while maintaining inference costs within an acceptable range. To address this challenge, we propose the Boundary-Aware Periodicity-based sparsification strategy for Ultra-Long time series forecasting (BAP-UL).This method effectively captures periodic features in time series and reorganizes inputs and outputs into shorter sub-sequences for improved prediction accuracy. In the paper, we investigate several commonly used benchmark datasets and demonstrate that the proposed method can yield comparable performance across them.

Shanghai Key Laboratory of Trustworthy Computing (CN), East China Normal University (CN)
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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