Prediction of Stock Industry Sectors Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) based on Financial Statements with the Random Forest Method

This research aims to predict the stock industry sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) based on financial reports using the Random Forest method. The dataset used in this research includes financial data from companies listed on the IDX in the period 2010 to 2022. The data processing process includes data cleaning, handling class imbalance with oversampling techniques using SMOTE, and feature scaling using StandardScaler. The Random Forest model is used to classify companies into appropriate industry sectors. The eval_uation results show that the model has good performance with an overall accuracy of 80.21%. Several classes showed very good performance, such as the Financials class with precision of 95.24%, recall of 100%, and F-1 score of 97.56%. However, there are also classes that show lower performance, such as the Healthcare class with a precision of 51.61% and an F-1 score of 61.54%. The confusion matrix indicates that the model is able to identify most classes accurately, although there are several classes with prediction errors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi
Published
2024-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.59141/jist.v5i10.1239
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Prediction of Stock Industry Sectors Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) based on Financial Statements with the Random Forest Method

Deni Saepudin, I Kamil Elian Zhafran
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Prediction of Stock Industry Sectors Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) based on Financial Statements with the Random Forest Method

Deni Saepudin, I Kamil Elian Zhafran
article en

Abstract

This research aims to predict the stock industry sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) based on financial reports using the Random Forest method. The dataset used in this research includes financial data from companies listed on the IDX in the period 2010 to 2022. The data processing process includes data cleaning, handling class imbalance with oversampling techniques using SMOTE, and feature scaling using StandardScaler. The Random Forest model is used to classify companies into appropriate industry sectors. The eval_uation results show that the model has good performance with an overall accuracy of 80.21%. Several classes showed very good performance, such as the Financials class with precision of 95.24%, recall of 100%, and F-1 score of 97.56%. However, there are also classes that show lower performance, such as the Healthcare class with a precision of 51.61% and an F-1 score of 61.54%. The confusion matrix indicates that the model is able to identify most classes accurately, although there are several classes with prediction errors.

Jurnal Indonesia Sosial TeknologiVol. 5(10)
Telkom University (ID)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Prediction of Stock Industry Sectors Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) based on Financial Statements with the Random Forest Method — Deni Saepudin, I Kamil Elian Zhafran · Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS