Modeling of ecological niches of Barbary Partridge (Alectoris barbara) under conditions of bioclimatic variability in the Fes-Meknes region (Morocco)

Abstract The Barbary Partridge ( Alectoris barbara ) is a bird species belonging to the Phasianidae family and is endemic to North Africa, including Morocco. Effective conservation of this species requires a thorough understanding and accurate assessment of the environmental factors that influence reproductive parameters. In this study, we used the species distribution models (SDM) to study the geographical distribution of the Barbary Partridge in Morocco. These models are tools that allow us to study the effects of climate change on the spatial distribution of species, they are based on the Maxent (maximum entropy) algorithm. These models are based on environmental and biological data and can predict the probability of a species’ occurrence in a given geographic area. They can also predict how climatic and environmental conditions will change over time and how these changes will affect the species’ distribution. The results obtained revealed that the environmental factors that have a significant influence on the distribution area of Barbary Partridge under Moroccan conditions are: annual precipitation (Bio12) with a contribution rate of 23.3%; precipitation of the driest quarter (Bio17) at 19.9%; altitude at 9.9%; minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio 6) at 7.6%; precipitation of the driest month (Bio14) at 7.2%; and mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio8) at 4.4%. This information can be used to assist in long-term conservation planning by identifying areas that may become more or less suitable for the species.