Técnica de ciencia de datos para el pronóstico de consumo de gas natural en la industria siderúrgica

Efficient scheduling of natural gas energy resources within the steel industry faces many challenges, as this sector does not have the necessary measures and tools to support its efficient management. In this study, a forecasting approach to natural gas consumption is proposed using the predictive technique of multiple linear regression. For the development of the proposed model, the main variables related to natural gas consumption that will make up the predictive model are established. The evaluation of the model was carried out using data from a steel company in Mexico. The results of mean absolute percentage error, root mean square error and mean absolute deviation of RLM models (MAPE: 10.23%, RMSE: 20492.32, DAM: 20009.03) vs. traditional method (MAPE: 34.05%, RMSE:93055.92, DAM: 65170.91), reflect that the proposed models significantly improve natural gas resource management, providing substantial improvement in natural gas consumption volume estimates for proper energy scheduling.

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Publication Details

Journal
Revista de Investigación en Tecnologías de la Información
Published
2024-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.36825/riti.12.26.007
Primary Topic
Advanced Control Systems Optimization
Type
article
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article

Técnica de ciencia de datos para el pronóstico de consumo de gas natural en la industria siderúrgica

J.A. Peña, Alma Jovita Domínguez Lugo, José Roberto Cantú González, Dalia Margarita Alba Cisneros
Revista de Investigación en Tecnologías de la Información
Advanced Control Systems Optimization
article

Técnica de ciencia de datos para el pronóstico de consumo de gas natural en la industria siderúrgica

J.A. Peña, Alma Jovita Domínguez Lugo, José Roberto Cantú González, Dalia Margarita Alba Cisneros
article en

Abstract

Efficient scheduling of natural gas energy resources within the steel industry faces many challenges, as this sector does not have the necessary measures and tools to support its efficient management. In this study, a forecasting approach to natural gas consumption is proposed using the predictive technique of multiple linear regression. For the development of the proposed model, the main variables related to natural gas consumption that will make up the predictive model are established. The evaluation of the model was carried out using data from a steel company in Mexico. The results of mean absolute percentage error, root mean square error and mean absolute deviation of RLM models (MAPE: 10.23%, RMSE: 20492.32, DAM: 20009.03) vs. traditional method (MAPE: 34.05%, RMSE:93055.92, DAM: 65170.91), reflect that the proposed models significantly improve natural gas resource management, providing substantial improvement in natural gas consumption volume estimates for proper energy scheduling.

Revista de Investigación en Tecnologías de la InformaciónVol. 12(26)
Universidad Autónoma de Coahuila (MX)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Advanced Control Systems Optimization
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Técnica de ciencia de datos para el pronóstico de consumo de gas natural en la industria siderúrgica — J.A. Peña, Alma Jovita Domínguez Lugo, et al. · Revista de Investigación en Tecnologías de la Información (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS