Full Road Transport Sector Transition Towards 100% Autonomous Renewable Energy Supply in Isolated Systems: Tenerife Island Test Case

The transition towards sustainable energy systems is a key challenge faced by society. Among the different sectors, road transport becomes one of the most difficult due to the large energy consumption and infrastructure requirements. In this context, although zero-tailpipe-emission vehicle adoption is seen as a promising route, the energy provision through renewable sources is still uncertain, especially with hydrogen. This paper explores a 100% renewable energy supply scenario for both power-generation and road transport sectors in the isolated system of Tenerife. With this aim, the island’s energy system has been modelled in the software EnergyPLAN. Taking as reference the current renewable technology roadmap in the island, the impact of a full deployment of zero-tailpipe-emission vehicles on the energy system has been evaluated, providing the power and energy storage capacity requirements. The obtained results indicate the need for 6 GW of renewable power (nearly 20 times the current figures) and 12 GWh of a yet non-existent storage capacity. This deployment must be accompanied with approximately 1 GW of dispatchable sources and 1.3 GW of electrolysis capacity to carry out a complete decarbonisation of the transport sector in the island. Finally, a series of recommendations to policy makers are suggested to support the definition of future roadmaps.