Playing the System: Electoral Bias in the 2024 <scp>UK</scp> General Election

Abstract The UK's 2024 general election was the least proportional of modern times. Labour's substantial parliamentary majority rested on the smallest ever winning party vote share. The Conservatives, meanwhile, suffered one of their worst ever results. While political and economic events during the 2019–2024 Parliament were key to the outcome, the operation of the first past the post electoral system was also important. In 2024, it was strongly biased in Labour's favour and against the Conservatives, contributing substantially to the scale of their defeat and of Labour's victory, allowing Labour to parlay modest support into a large majority. This pro‐Labour bias was to a large extent a result of the much greater efficiency of Labour's geography of support. We place the relative Conservative‐Labour bias at the 2024 contest into a longer historical perspective, demonstrating that it marked the abrupt end of a ten‐year period in which electoral bias had favoured the Conservatives.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
The Political Quarterly
Published
2024-10-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923x.13471
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Political and Economic history of UK and US
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.46
Controls
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article

Playing the System: Electoral Bias in the 2024 UK General Election

David Cutts, Charles Pattie
2 citations
The Political Quarterly
Political and Economic history of UK and US
4.46
article

Playing the System: Electoral Bias in the 2024 UK General Election

David Cutts, Charles Pattie
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Abstract The UK's 2024 general election was the least proportional of modern times. Labour's substantial parliamentary majority rested on the smallest ever winning party vote share. The Conservatives, meanwhile, suffered one of their worst ever results. While political and economic events during the 2019–2024 Parliament were key to the outcome, the operation of the first past the post electoral system was also important. In 2024, it was strongly biased in Labour's favour and against the Conservatives, contributing substantially to the scale of their defeat and of Labour's victory, allowing Labour to parlay modest support into a large majority. This pro‐Labour bias was to a large extent a result of the much greater efficiency of Labour's geography of support. We place the relative Conservative‐Labour bias at the 2024 contest into a longer historical perspective, demonstrating that it marked the abrupt end of a ten‐year period in which electoral bias had favoured the Conservatives.

The Political QuarterlyVol. 96(1)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Political and Economic history of UK and US
4.46
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