Cognitive Model Based on The Dl Random Forest Method for Profi t Forecasting and Fuzzy Algorithm for Assessing Company Sustainability in Conditions of Uncertainty

The article is devoted to the problem of supporting management decision-making on choosing a strategic partner whose activities would be effective and sustainable. During the study, based on the results of the work of enterprises in the domestic confectionery industry, a dataset was generated, which was subsequently used for the deep learning model DL-model "Random Forest" in order to calculate the predicted values of the net profi t of enterprises in the industry. Assessing companies for the purpose of selecting a strategic partner, using models such as: deep learning model "Random Forest" (DL Random Forest), VaR, Z-Altman, Hurwitz matrix, Fuzzy algorithm in modern conditions has great practical significance. The relevance of the study lies in the fact that in conditions of increasing market uncertainty, approaches to ensuring the sustainable development of an organization based on AI systems are increasingly being used. The scientific novelty lies in the fact that the study used a set of models that made it possible to assess the actual sustainability of companies and, based on the calculated forecast values of net profi t, as well as business efficiency indicators ROE and ROS, to make a decision on the choice of potential business partners. During the study the following were developed: a VaR model, which made it possible to obtain an assessment of fi nancial risk, a Z-Altman model for assessing the risk of bankruptcy of an enterprise. In addition, based on the calculated parameters of the regression equation, a Hurwitz matrix was formed, which made it possible to draw a conclusion about the sustainability of each enterprise as a system. The use of the Fuzzy algorithm made it possible to obtain a decision on choosing a partner enterprise.