A deterministic analysis of an age-sex-structured model for malaria transmission dynamics

<i>Objectives:</i> Children younger than 5 years and women, especially pregnant women, are at high risk of malaria and death because of their weak immunity and exposure to mosquitoes. Several studies have considered only the age-structured model and other factors but have not considered sex. The objective of this work is to develop and analyze the malaria transmission model including this structure, to contribute to existing measures and mechanisms to eradicate malaria in Rwanda. <i>Methods:</i> A dynamic malaria transmission model considering age and sex structure was developed and analyzed. To study the dynamics of disease, the basic reproduction number was analytically computed and numerically estimated, and the normalized forward sensitivity index was used to highlight its sensitive parameters. <i>Results:</i> The most positive sensitive parameters in the model are the force of infection and the infection rates for vectors and female humans aged 5 years or older. The most negative sensitive parameters are the per capita death rates for vectors and humans. <i>Conclusion:</i> To control the spread of malaria in Rwanda, the biting and infection rates should be decreased. Therefore, women must comply with government measures against malaria and educate children about it.

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Publication Details

Journal
IJID Regions
Published
2024-10-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2024.100478
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.54

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article

A deterministic analysis of an age-sex-structured model for malaria transmission dynamics

Innocent Ngaruye, Mohamed Sylla, Joseph Nzabanita, Marie Aimée Uwineza
1 citations
IJID Regions
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
0.54
article

A deterministic analysis of an age-sex-structured model for malaria transmission dynamics

Innocent Ngaruye, Mohamed Sylla, Joseph Nzabanita, Marie Aimée Uwineza
article en
1 citations

Abstract

<i>Objectives:</i> Children younger than 5 years and women, especially pregnant women, are at high risk of malaria and death because of their weak immunity and exposure to mosquitoes. Several studies have considered only the age-structured model and other factors but have not considered sex. The objective of this work is to develop and analyze the malaria transmission model including this structure, to contribute to existing measures and mechanisms to eradicate malaria in Rwanda. <i>Methods:</i> A dynamic malaria transmission model considering age and sex structure was developed and analyzed. To study the dynamics of disease, the basic reproduction number was analytically computed and numerically estimated, and the normalized forward sensitivity index was used to highlight its sensitive parameters. <i>Results:</i> The most positive sensitive parameters in the model are the force of infection and the infection rates for vectors and female humans aged 5 years or older. The most negative sensitive parameters are the per capita death rates for vectors and humans. <i>Conclusion:</i> To control the spread of malaria in Rwanda, the biting and infection rates should be decreased. Therefore, women must comply with government measures against malaria and educate children about it.

IJID RegionsVol. 13
University of Rwanda (RW), African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (RW)
Government of Canada, International Development Research Centre, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Global Affairs Canada, Division of Mathematical Sciences
Gender equality
Openalex Percentile: Top 28%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
0.54
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A deterministic analysis of an age-sex-structured model for malaria transmission dynamics — Innocent Ngaruye, Mohamed Sylla, et al. · IJID Regions (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS