Rupture process of the 2019 Mw 6.8 Davao Del Sur earthquake, Philippines from geodetic and seismic data

Because of its complex tectonic setting, the Philippines experiences vigorous seismic activity. On December 15, 2019, an Mw 6.8 earthquake struck Davao del Sur, the Philippines, severely damaging infrastructure and adversely affecting the population. In this study, we used Interferometry Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and teleseismic broadband data to explore the earthquake’s source parameters, rupture process, and tectonic characteristics through a Bayesian modeling approach and Coulomb stress analysis. An analysis of InSAR suggested that the mainshock occurred on an NW–SE oriented single plane within the Cotabato fault system, with the Makilala-Malungon fault being the causative fault. The Joint inversion revealed that the rupture initiated in the middle crust (depth: approximately 16.5 km), exhibiting a blind, left-lateral strike-slip fault rupture propagation with minimal reverse slip and no surface rupture. The slip was concentrated in a distinct asperity spanning a depth of 3–24 km, with the peak slip reaching approximately 1.8 m. The source time function of this event indicated a single pulse with a total source duration of approximately 17 s. The static stress drop value was low, which may be related to the brittle condition of the crust. Coulomb stress changes calculations suggested earthquake risk in the future.