The Relationship Between Turkey’s Available Freshwater Resources and Migration in the Light of Falkenmark and Shiklomanov Indicators

In the current period when climate change begins to reshape the world and people, Turkey is also affected by this change both in terms of climate and society. Due to both political and natural reasons, Türkiye has been exposed to intense immigration in recent years. The country, which was only a transit route in the past, has now become the final destination of migration. Turkey, which has a naturally growing population structure, has had another sudden growth factor brought about by immigration. Accordingly, Turkey's natural resources that will sustain life and economic activity have come under increasing pressure. These resources include water resources. The research question of the study is "Can Turkey's available freshwater resources withstand the population pressure that grows with intense migration in the future?" and the study tested the hypothesis that "Turkey's available freshwater resources cannot withstand the pressure of intense migration". As a result, even if Turkey's available freshwater resources continue to be under pressure in the future as they are now, the country's natural population growth will not push the country's resources below the water scarcity limit. However, it has been determined that major deviations in population due to intense migration will push the country's resources below the water scarcity limit in the future.