DEVELOPMENT A TWO-FACTOR MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR ESTIMATING THENUMBER OF ROAD ACCIDENTS INVOLVING PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENTS INVOLVING PASSENGER TRANSPORT

The article considers the accident rate of passenger transport, determines perspective ways of development of this type of transport and the main target indicators in accordance with the Transport Strategy. The analysis of the main factors affecting the development of passenger transport - passenger turnover and availability of rolling stock - is carried out and a two-factor model is developed, which allows estimating the change in the accident rate depending on the changes in the factors under study.