Evaluation of the Multiple Regression Analysis Algorithm on Stock Market Prediction

Financial time series is one of the most challenging applications of modern time series forecasting. The financial time series is closely related to noise, non-stationary, and deterministic chaos. The characteristics suggest that no complete information can be obtained from the past behavior of financial markets to fully capture the dependency between future prices and that of the past. The data collection method was collected from the Stock Market Online Application "MetaTrader version 4" type "Daily" with a time range from "03/09/2001 to 25/07/2012", as many as 2052 data", with the attributes "Date, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume" with the main attribute "Close" using the Support vector machine algorithm, artificial neural network, and multiple linear regression. The conclusion of the value that is close to the series value is the value by testing on the support vector machine algorithm, with the parameter for the RMSE value that is close to the "0" value obtained from the measurement results on the SVM algorithm on the RBF kernel (radial base function) with a value of "gamma" γ = 100 with the value of RMSE = 0.000, and SE = 0.000. with prediction accuracy error = 0.976