Irregularity-Informed Time Series Analysis: Adaptive Modelling of Spatial and Temporal Dynamics

Irregular Time Series Data (IRTS) has shown increasing prevalence in real-world applications. We observed that IRTS can be divided into two specialized types: Natural Irregular Time Series (NIRTS) and Accidental Irregular Time Series (AIRTS). Various existing methods either ignore the impacts of irregular patterns or statically learn the irregular dynamics of NIRTS and AIRTS data and suffer from limited data availability due to the sparsity of IRTS. We proposed a novel transformer-based framework for general irregular time series data that treats IRTS from four views: Locality, Time, Spatio and Irregularity to motivate the data usage to the highest potential. Moreover, we design a sophisticated irregularity-gate mechanism to adaptively select task-relevant information from irregularity, which improves the generalization ability to various IRTS data. We implement extensive experiments to demonstrate the resistance of our work to three highly missing ratio datasets (88.4%, 94.9%, 60% missing value) and investigate the significance of the irregularity information for both NIRTS and AIRTS by additional ablation study. We release our implementation in https://github.com/IcurasLW/MTSFormer-Irregular_Time_Series.git.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3627673.3679716
Citations
6
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.10
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article

Irregularity-Informed Time Series Analysis: Adaptive Modelling of Spatial and Temporal Dynamics

Olaf Maennel, Lin Yue, Miao Xu, Weitong Chen et al.
6 citations
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
2.10
article

Irregularity-Informed Time Series Analysis: Adaptive Modelling of Spatial and Temporal Dynamics

Olaf Maennel, Lin Yue, Miao Xu, Weitong Chen, Wei Emma Zhang, Zhengyang Li, Liangwei Nathan Zheng, Chang George Dong
article en
6 citations

Abstract

Irregular Time Series Data (IRTS) has shown increasing prevalence in real-world applications. We observed that IRTS can be divided into two specialized types: Natural Irregular Time Series (NIRTS) and Accidental Irregular Time Series (AIRTS). Various existing methods either ignore the impacts of irregular patterns or statically learn the irregular dynamics of NIRTS and AIRTS data and suffer from limited data availability due to the sparsity of IRTS. We proposed a novel transformer-based framework for general irregular time series data that treats IRTS from four views: Locality, Time, Spatio and Irregularity to motivate the data usage to the highest potential. Moreover, we design a sophisticated irregularity-gate mechanism to adaptively select task-relevant information from irregularity, which improves the generalization ability to various IRTS data. We implement extensive experiments to demonstrate the resistance of our work to three highly missing ratio datasets (88.4%, 94.9%, 60% missing value) and investigate the significance of the irregularity information for both NIRTS and AIRTS by additional ablation study. We release our implementation in https://github.com/IcurasLW/MTSFormer-Irregular_Time_Series.git.

The University of Queensland (AU), The University of Adelaide (AU)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
2.10
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Irregularity-Informed Time Series Analysis: Adaptive Modelling of Spatial and Temporal Dynamics — Olaf Maennel, Lin Yue, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS