Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Data Rate Maximization in Unmanned Aerial Vehicle-Assisted Wireless Networks

The evolution of beyond fifth generation (B5G) wireless networks poses significant technical and economic challenges across urban, suburban, and rural areas, demanding increased capacity for users whose positions continually change. This study investigated the dynamic positioning of an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), acting as a mobile base station (MoBS) to enhance network efficiency and meet ground terminals (GTs) expectations for data rates, particularly in emergency scenarios or temporary events. While UAVs show great promise, existing research often assumes certainty in network architecture, overlooking the complexities of unpredictable user movements. We introduce a decision-making framework utilizing the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operator to address uncertainties in GT locations, enabling the optimization of UAV trajectories to maximize the overall network data rate. An optimization problem is formulated by modeling GT dynamics through a Markov process and discretizing UAV movements while accounting for communication thresholds and movement constraints. Extensive simulations reveal that our approach significantly improves expected data rates by up to 48% compared to traditional fixed base stations (BSs) and predefined UAV movement patterns. This research underscores the potential of UAV-assisted networks to bolster communication reliability while effectively managing dynamic user movements to maintain optimal quality of service (QoS).