Western North Pacific tropical cyclones suppress Maritime Continent rainfall

It is generally believed that the Maritime Continent (MC) is rarely affected by tropical cyclones (TCs) due to its equatorial location. However, this study reveals that TCs in the tropical western North Pacific can significantly suppress rainfall over the MC and its surrounding seas, based on the composite analysis. This suppression effect of TCs exists across all phases of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO). TCs greatly alleviate rainfall enhancement during the convective phases of the MJO and aggravate rainfall suppression during the suppressive phases. Particularly, TCs reduce the likelihood of extremely high rainfall in convective MJO phases from 9% to 5% and increase the likelihood of extremely low rainfall in suppressive MJO phases from 10% to 16%. The rainfall suppression is attributed to the lower-tropospheric southwesterly anomalies to the south of TCs, which result in moisture divergence over the MC. Additionally, the upper-tropospheric equatorward outflows of TCs also promote subsidence and suppress rainfall. This study introduces a new factor influencing the rainfall over the MC from a synoptic climatology perspective.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2024-10-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00810-2
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.88

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article

Western North Pacific tropical cyclones suppress Maritime Continent rainfall

Ruidan Chen, Guixing Chen, Xinyu Li, Riyu Lu
5 citations
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
1.88
article

Western North Pacific tropical cyclones suppress Maritime Continent rainfall

Ruidan Chen, Guixing Chen, Xinyu Li, Riyu Lu
article en
5 citations

Abstract

It is generally believed that the Maritime Continent (MC) is rarely affected by tropical cyclones (TCs) due to its equatorial location. However, this study reveals that TCs in the tropical western North Pacific can significantly suppress rainfall over the MC and its surrounding seas, based on the composite analysis. This suppression effect of TCs exists across all phases of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO). TCs greatly alleviate rainfall enhancement during the convective phases of the MJO and aggravate rainfall suppression during the suppressive phases. Particularly, TCs reduce the likelihood of extremely high rainfall in convective MJO phases from 9% to 5% and increase the likelihood of extremely low rainfall in suppressive MJO phases from 10% to 16%. The rainfall suppression is attributed to the lower-tropospheric southwesterly anomalies to the south of TCs, which result in moisture divergence over the MC. Additionally, the upper-tropospheric equatorward outflows of TCs also promote subsidence and suppress rainfall. This study introduces a new factor influencing the rainfall over the MC from a synoptic climatology perspective.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 7(1)
Sun Yat-sen University (CN), Hohai University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Ministry of Natural Resources (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
1.88
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Western North Pacific tropical cyclones suppress Maritime Continent rainfall — Ruidan Chen, Guixing Chen, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS