Research on Momentum Prediction of Tennis Match Based on Scoring Model and Multilayer Perceptron

During a tennis match, players may encounter various circumstances that can significantly influence their performance. This force, known as "momentum," can drastically alter the game's flow and ultimately determine the winner. Addressing the challenge of analyzing and predicting momentum shifts, this study applied the Entropy Weight TOPSIS method combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to assess player performance across technical, physical, and psychological factors. These methods provided a comprehensive analysis of the players' performance metrics, revealing patterns linked to momentum changes. Following this, Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to identify key performance indicators strongly associated with match outcomes. These indicators were then integrated into a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model, which demonstrated high predictive accuracy, with an R-value of 0.868, effectively capturing momentum shifts in real-time. The study's findings offer valuable insights for improving strategic decision-making during matches and hold potential applications in other fields that require real-time predictive analysis.

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Publication Details

Journal
Transactions on Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Research
Published
2024-10-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.62051/svsdm869
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Research on Momentum Prediction of Tennis Match Based on Scoring Model and Multilayer Perceptron

Jiangang Dong, Qi Feng
Transactions on Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Research
Sports Analytics and Performance
article

Research on Momentum Prediction of Tennis Match Based on Scoring Model and Multilayer Perceptron

Jiangang Dong, Qi Feng
article en

Abstract

During a tennis match, players may encounter various circumstances that can significantly influence their performance. This force, known as "momentum," can drastically alter the game's flow and ultimately determine the winner. Addressing the challenge of analyzing and predicting momentum shifts, this study applied the Entropy Weight TOPSIS method combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to assess player performance across technical, physical, and psychological factors. These methods provided a comprehensive analysis of the players' performance metrics, revealing patterns linked to momentum changes. Following this, Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to identify key performance indicators strongly associated with match outcomes. These indicators were then integrated into a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model, which demonstrated high predictive accuracy, with an R-value of 0.868, effectively capturing momentum shifts in real-time. The study's findings offer valuable insights for improving strategic decision-making during matches and hold potential applications in other fields that require real-time predictive analysis.

Transactions on Computer Science and Intelligent Systems ResearchVol. 6
Hefei University of Technology (CN)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Sports Analytics and Performance
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