Improving earthquake prediction accuracy in Los Angeles with machine learning

This research breaks new ground in earthquake prediction for Los Angeles, California, by leveraging advanced machine learning and neural network models. We meticulously constructed a comprehensive feature matrix to maximize predictive accuracy. By synthesizing existing research and integrating novel predictive features, we developed a robust subset capable of estimating the maximum potential earthquake magnitude. Our standout achievement is the creation of a feature set that, when applied with the Random Forest machine learning model, achieves a high accuracy in predicting the maximum earthquake category within the next 30 days. Among sixteen evaluated machine learning algorithms, Random Forest proved to be the most effective. Our findings underscore the transformative potential of machine learning and neural networks in enhancing earthquake prediction accuracy, offering significant advancements in seismic risk management and preparedness for Los Angeles.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2024-10-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-76483-x
Citations
33
Primary Topic
Seismology and Earthquake Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.46

Funders

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article

Improving earthquake prediction accuracy in Los Angeles with machine learning

Christopher Kadlec, Lei Chen, Cemil Emre Yavas, Yiming Ji
33 citations
Scientific Reports
Seismology and Earthquake Studies
11.46
article

Improving earthquake prediction accuracy in Los Angeles with machine learning

Christopher Kadlec, Lei Chen, Cemil Emre Yavas, Yiming Ji
article en
33 citations

Abstract

This research breaks new ground in earthquake prediction for Los Angeles, California, by leveraging advanced machine learning and neural network models. We meticulously constructed a comprehensive feature matrix to maximize predictive accuracy. By synthesizing existing research and integrating novel predictive features, we developed a robust subset capable of estimating the maximum potential earthquake magnitude. Our standout achievement is the creation of a feature set that, when applied with the Random Forest machine learning model, achieves a high accuracy in predicting the maximum earthquake category within the next 30 days. Among sixteen evaluated machine learning algorithms, Random Forest proved to be the most effective. Our findings underscore the transformative potential of machine learning and neural networks in enhancing earthquake prediction accuracy, offering significant advancements in seismic risk management and preparedness for Los Angeles.

Scientific ReportsVol. 14(1)
Georgia Southern University (US)
National Science Foundation, Georgia Southern University
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Seismology and Earthquake Studies
11.46
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