Improving earthquake prediction accuracy in Los Angeles with machine learning
This research breaks new ground in earthquake prediction for Los Angeles, California, by leveraging advanced machine learning and neural network models. We meticulously constructed a comprehensive feature matrix to maximize predictive accuracy. By synthesizing existing research and integrating novel predictive features, we developed a robust subset capable of estimating the maximum potential earthquake magnitude. Our standout achievement is the creation of a feature set that, when applied with the Random Forest machine learning model, achieves a high accuracy in predicting the maximum earthquake category within the next 30 days. Among sixteen evaluated machine learning algorithms, Random Forest proved to be the most effective. Our findings underscore the transformative potential of machine learning and neural networks in enhancing earthquake prediction accuracy, offering significant advancements in seismic risk management and preparedness for Los Angeles.
Authors
- Christopher Kadlec
- Lei Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3919-8056)
- Cemil Emre Yavas (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-9552-1731)
- Yiming Ji (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-7115-8577)
Institutions
- Georgia Southern University (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2024-10-18
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-76483-x
- Citations
- 33
- Primary Topic
- Seismology and Earthquake Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 11.46
Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Georgia Southern University