Design of Bayesian evaluation test for missile damage effectiveness based on multiple damage level standards

The qualified missile damage effectiveness is an important guarantee for giving full play to combat effectiveness. In order to test whether the missile damage effectiveness meets the standard, it is particularly necessary to carry out damage effectiveness identification test research. In view of the limitation that the existing "single-shot damage probability" damage effectiveness quantitative characterization index is difficult to fully describe the missile damage effectiveness based on a single damage standard, considering the different damage level results formed by a single missile hitting the target, the damage effectiveness is characterized by the probability of occurrence of different damage level results. Missile identification from the perspective of multiple damage level standards is conducive to comprehensive inspection of missile damage effectiveness. In addition, in order to overcome the problem of insufficient information in small sample missile assembly tests, the Bayesian method is combined with the system contribution degree to fuse multi-source prior information in the identification test design, and a test scheme with full information utilization and controllable risks for both parties is designed. The example shows that compared with the quantitative characterization index of a single damage standard, this study can fully describe the missile damage effectiveness, and compared with the improved binomial distribution hypothesis test method, the superiority of this method is verified.