An Efficient Attentive-GRU Structure for Uncertainty Modelling of Crowdsourced Human Trajectories Under Building-obscured Urban Scenes

Abstract. Uncertainty modelling is regarded as one of the core components in the field of human mobility analysis and urban navigation, that can affect the performance of human behaviour modelling and location information acquisition. Existing uncertainty modelling algorithms towards the human movement trajectory are subjected to random and highly dynamic human motion characteristics and sampling and observation errors of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signals caused by the occlusion of buildings in urban scenes, which lead to the insufficient spatiotemporal correlation and poor accuracy of uncertainty modelling. To fill in this gap, this paper proposes an efficient attentive-GRU structure for uncertainty modelling of crowdsourced human trajectories under building-obscured urban scenes, that takes into account both temporal correlation and spatial correlation of human-originated GNSS trajectories and related motion features. A period of human motion data is modelled instead of only one or adjacent location points to avoid interference factors caused by the obstruction of urban buildings, and time-varying measurement and sampling errors are further estimated and combined with comprehensive human motion features to improve the accuracy of final uncertainty modelling. Comprehensive experiments indicate that compared with existing uncertainty modelling methods including physical models and deep-learning models, the proposed attentive-GRU structure realizes much better performance under different accuracy indexes.