TimeMachine: A Time Series is Worth 4 Mambas for Long-Term Forecasting

Long-term time-series forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, achieving linear scalability, and maintaining computational efficiency. We introduce TimeMachine, an innovative model that leverages Mamba, a state-space model, to capture long-term dependencies in multivariate time series data while maintaining linear scalability and small memory footprints. TimeMachine exploits the unique properties of time series data to produce salient contextual cues at multi-scales and leverage an innovative integrated quadruple-Mamba architecture to unify the handling of channel-mixing and channel-independence situations, thus enabling effective selection of contents for prediction against global and local contexts at different scales. Experimentally, TimeMachine achieves superior performance in prediction accuracy, scalability, and memory efficiency, as extensively validated using benchmark datasets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Frontiers in artificial intelligence and applications
Published
2024-10-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3233/faia240677
Citations
80
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
77.30

Funders

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article

TimeMachine: A Time Series is Worth 4 Mambas for Long-Term Forecasting

Md Atik Ahamed, Qiang Cheng
80 citations
Frontiers in artificial intelligence and applications
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
77.30
article

TimeMachine: A Time Series is Worth 4 Mambas for Long-Term Forecasting

Md Atik Ahamed, Qiang Cheng
article en
80 citations

Abstract

Long-term time-series forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, achieving linear scalability, and maintaining computational efficiency. We introduce TimeMachine, an innovative model that leverages Mamba, a state-space model, to capture long-term dependencies in multivariate time series data while maintaining linear scalability and small memory footprints. TimeMachine exploits the unique properties of time series data to produce salient contextual cues at multi-scales and leverage an innovative integrated quadruple-Mamba architecture to unify the handling of channel-mixing and channel-independence situations, thus enabling effective selection of contents for prediction against global and local contexts at different scales. Experimentally, TimeMachine achieves superior performance in prediction accuracy, scalability, and memory efficiency, as extensively validated using benchmark datasets.

Frontiers in artificial intelligence and applicationsVol. 392
University of Kentucky (US)
National Science Foundation, National Institutes of Health
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
77.30
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