A Dynamic Game Model for Emergency Resource Managers and Compound Disasters Induced by Heavy Rainstorms

Under the impact of global climate change and human activities, the occurrence of compound disasters such as cascading landslides and flash floods caused by heavy rainfall is increasing. In response to these compound disaster events, it is important to simultaneously transport emergency resources from multiple emergency rescue points to the disaster sites to promptly control the cascading development of disasters and reduce the areas affected by the disasters and associated adverse impacts. This study proposes a dynamic game model for emergency resources dispatch to comprehensively consider the evolution of the compound disaster states and the timely dispatch of emergency resources from the rescue points to the disaster site. The dynamic game model is exemplarily applied to the emergency resource dispatch for a rainstorm-induced compound disaster that occurs in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA). Starting with the analysis of the characteristics of emergency resource management and the attributes of a cascading of heavy rainstorms, landslides, and flash floods, the game model simulates the dynamic game process between the “disaster state” and the “emergency resource manager” in the rescue operations. A two-stage dynamic game model can support decision-making with the objectives of minimal time cost and sufficient resource dispatch for the disaster sites. Game results show that the united emergency resource dispatch in the three GBA metropolitan areas can efficiently respond to compound disasters that occur within the GBA metropolitan area. The dynamic game model could be extended for compound disaster emergency responses with more complicated compound effects and resource constraints.