The Predictive Role of Radiomics in Breast Cancer Patients Imaged by [18F]FDG PET: Preliminary Results from a Prospective Cohort

Background: Recently, radiomics has emerged as a possible image-derived biomarker, predominantly stemming from retrospective analyses. We aimed to prospectively assess the predictive role of [18F]FDG-PET radiomics in breast cancer (BC). Methods: Patients affected by stage I–III BC eligible for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) staged with [18F]FDG-PET/CT were prospectively enrolled. The pathological response to NAC was assessed on surgical specimens. From each primary breast lesion, we extracted radiomic PET features and their predictive role with respect to pCR was assessed. Uni- and multivariate statistics were used for inference; principal component analysis (PCA) was used for dimensionality reduction. Results: We analysed 93 patients (53 HER2+ and 40 triple-negative (TNBC)). pCR was achieved in 44/93 cases (24/53 HER2+ and 20/40 TNBC). Age, molecular subtype, Ki67 percent, and stage could not predict pCR in multivariate analysis. In univariate analysis, 10 radiomic indices resulted in p < 0.1. We found that 3/22 radiomic principal components were discriminative for pCR. Using a cross-validation approach, radiomic principal components failed to discriminate pCR groups but predicted the stage (mean accuracy = 0.79 ± 0.08). Conclusions: This study shows the potential of PET radiomics for staging purposes in BC; the possible role of radiomics in predicting the pCR response to NAC in BC needs to be further investigated.