Shedding Light on Chinese Thinking on <scp>AUKUS</scp>

Western observers have endlessly debated the strategic implications of AUKUS. However, little attention has been paid to Chinese perspectives on AUKUS, despite the pact's implicit rationale to curb Beijing's perceived strategic ambitions. The article provides an objective and evidence‐based examination of thinking on AUKUS within the Chinese decision‐making community. The goal is threefold: first, to inform audiences outside China about its key concerns; second, to understand how these concerns are being constituted as narratives within China; and third, to highlight opportunities for improved dialogue to avoid policymaking communities remaining in self‐contained silos. Some of China's concerns about AUKUS are real and valid, and it is helpful to identify Beijing's perceived threats, which namely concern arms racing, nuclear risks, containment, and a return to a Cold War mentality. Recognizing these does not imply appeasement of China's growing assertiveness. The aim is to create opportunities for strategic dialogue and shape a more peaceful and predictable global system.

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Publication Details

Journal
Pacific Focus
Published
2024-10-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/pafo.12262
Primary Topic
Japanese History and Culture
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Shedding Light on Chinese Thinking on AUKUS

Kevin Blachford, Zeno Leoni, Sarah Tzinieris
Pacific Focus
Japanese History and Culture
article

Shedding Light on Chinese Thinking on AUKUS

Kevin Blachford, Zeno Leoni, Sarah Tzinieris
article en

Abstract

Western observers have endlessly debated the strategic implications of AUKUS. However, little attention has been paid to Chinese perspectives on AUKUS, despite the pact's implicit rationale to curb Beijing's perceived strategic ambitions. The article provides an objective and evidence‐based examination of thinking on AUKUS within the Chinese decision‐making community. The goal is threefold: first, to inform audiences outside China about its key concerns; second, to understand how these concerns are being constituted as narratives within China; and third, to highlight opportunities for improved dialogue to avoid policymaking communities remaining in self‐contained silos. Some of China's concerns about AUKUS are real and valid, and it is helpful to identify Beijing's perceived threats, which namely concern arms racing, nuclear risks, containment, and a return to a Cold War mentality. Recognizing these does not imply appeasement of China's growing assertiveness. The aim is to create opportunities for strategic dialogue and shape a more peaceful and predictable global system.

Pacific FocusVol. 39(3)
King's College London (GB)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Japanese History and Culture
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Shedding Light on Chinese Thinking on <scp>AUKUS</scp> — Kevin Blachford, Zeno Leoni, et al. · Pacific Focus (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS