Graph-based stock prediction with multisource information and relational data fusion

With the application of multisource information in different fields, the combination of different types of information, such as numerical data and text information, has become a favourable choice for performing stock market analyses. Despite the rich information provided by multisource data, building structured relationships remains challenging. In addition, some market relationship-based analysis methods use a predefined graph structure as a stock relationship graph, which makes it impossible to sensitively aggregate attribute features, and these methods cannot dynamically update market relationships or relationship strengths. In this paper, we propose a novel dynamic attribute-driven graph attention network incorporating sentiment (AGATS) information, transaction data, and text data. Inspired by behavioural finance , we separately extract sentiment information as a factor of technical indicators, and further realize the early fusion of technical indicators and textual data through tensor fusion. In particular, real-time intramarket dependencies and key attribute information are captured with graph networks, enabling dynamic relationship and relationship strength updates. Experiments conducted on real datasets show that our model is capable of ourperforming previously developed methods in prediction and trading.

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Publication Details

Journal
Information Sciences
Published
2024-10-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2024.121561
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.45

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Graph-based stock prediction with multisource information and relational data fusion

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5 citations
Information Sciences
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.45
article

Graph-based stock prediction with multisource information and relational data fusion

Caiming Zhang, Пэйдэ Лю, Yunfeng Zhang, Ning Yang, Qiuyue Zhang, Fangxun Bao
article en
5 citations

Abstract

With the application of multisource information in different fields, the combination of different types of information, such as numerical data and text information, has become a favourable choice for performing stock market analyses. Despite the rich information provided by multisource data, building structured relationships remains challenging. In addition, some market relationship-based analysis methods use a predefined graph structure as a stock relationship graph, which makes it impossible to sensitively aggregate attribute features, and these methods cannot dynamically update market relationships or relationship strengths. In this paper, we propose a novel dynamic attribute-driven graph attention network incorporating sentiment (AGATS) information, transaction data, and text data. Inspired by behavioural finance , we separately extract sentiment information as a factor of technical indicators, and further realize the early fusion of technical indicators and textual data through tensor fusion. In particular, real-time intramarket dependencies and key attribute information are captured with graph networks, enabling dynamic relationship and relationship strength updates. Experiments conducted on real datasets show that our model is capable of ourperforming previously developed methods in prediction and trading.

Information SciencesVol. 690
Shandong University (CN), Shandong Jianzhu University (CN), Shandong University of Finance and Economics (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.45
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