Assessment of quantum phase estimation protocols for early fault-tolerant quantum computers

We compare several quantum phase estimation (QPE) protocols intended for early fault-tolerant (EFT) quantum computers in the context of models of their implementations on a surface code architecture. We estimate the logical and physical resources required to use these protocols to calculate the ground-state energy of molecular hydrogen in a minimal basis with error below ${10}^{\ensuremath{-}3}$ atomic units, in the presence of depolarizing logical errors. Accounting for the overhead of rotation synthesis and magic state distillation, we find that the total $T$-gate counts do not vary significantly among the EFT QPE protocols at fixed state overlap. In addition to reducing the number of ancilla qubits and circuit depth, the noise robustness of the EFT protocols can be leveraged to reduce resource requirements below those of textbook QPE, realizing an approximately 300-fold reduction in aggregate computational volume in some cases. We also compare resource requirements for QPE on Trotterized time evolution and qubitized walk operators, for this same minimal exemplar. We estimate the costs of these two approaches to be comparable, with the Trotter approach requiring slightly fewer physical qubits and the qubitized approach requiring slightly fewer code cycles. Even so, our estimates are well beyond the scale of existing early fault-tolerance demonstrations.