Expected idiosyncratic moment risk and the cross-section of REIT returns

In this paper, we investigate whether expected idiosyncratic volatility (IV) and expected idiosyncratic skewness (IS) risk are both present and significant in the cross-section of expected REIT returns. Our firm-level empirical tests indicate a significant and negative relationship between REIT returns and both IV and IS risk. The observed risk-return trade-off remains significant even after controlling for firm-level characteristics and common risk factors. The empirical results document that firm-level IS risk is consonant with firm-level IV and that IS risk is not subsumed by IV and vice versa. Using Hou and Loh’s (2016) cross-sectional decomposition analysis, we find that firm-level IV and IS capture a very small percentage of each other’s average return premium, while a residual component accounts for the rest.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Property Research
Published
2024-10-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/09599916.2024.2409133
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
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article

Expected idiosyncratic moment risk and the cross-section of REIT returns

Prodosh Simlai
Journal of Property Research
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Expected idiosyncratic moment risk and the cross-section of REIT returns

Prodosh Simlai
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate whether expected idiosyncratic volatility (IV) and expected idiosyncratic skewness (IS) risk are both present and significant in the cross-section of expected REIT returns. Our firm-level empirical tests indicate a significant and negative relationship between REIT returns and both IV and IS risk. The observed risk-return trade-off remains significant even after controlling for firm-level characteristics and common risk factors. The empirical results document that firm-level IS risk is consonant with firm-level IV and that IS risk is not subsumed by IV and vice versa. Using Hou and Loh’s (2016) cross-sectional decomposition analysis, we find that firm-level IV and IS capture a very small percentage of each other’s average return premium, while a residual component accounts for the rest.

Journal of Property ResearchVol. 42(1)
Dakota State University (US), University of North Dakota (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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