Does Exchange Rate Undervaluation Have a Symmetric or Asymme-tric Effect on Economic Growth?

This paper investigates the asymmetric pass-through of real exchange rate undervaluation (Underval) on economic growth. The study using the autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) and non-linear autoregressive distributed lagged (NARDL) models reveals the complex and asymmetric effects of Underval on economic growth across different economies for the period 1984-2022. In developing countries, particularly those with floating exchange rate regimes, undervaluation can enhance economic performance by boosting exports and attracting foreign investment. However, in developing countries with fixed exchange rate regimes, undervaluation poses significant challenges and can lead to negative economic outcomes due to the rigidity and financial burdens associated with maintaining a fixed exchange rate. Conversely, developed countries and emerging markets exhibit a more muted response to underval, reflecting their greater economic stability and resilience. These findings highlight the importance of tailoring exchange rate policies to each country's specific economic context and exchange rate regime to optimize their impact on economic growth.

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Journal
Regional Economic Development Research
Published
2024-10-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.37256/redr.5220245117
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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article
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article

Does Exchange Rate Undervaluation Have a Symmetric or Asymme-tric Effect on Economic Growth?

Abdulkareem Alhassan, Mehdi Seraj, Çağay Coşkuner
Regional Economic Development Research
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Does Exchange Rate Undervaluation Have a Symmetric or Asymme-tric Effect on Economic Growth?

Abdulkareem Alhassan, Mehdi Seraj, Çağay Coşkuner
article en

Abstract

This paper investigates the asymmetric pass-through of real exchange rate undervaluation (Underval) on economic growth. The study using the autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) and non-linear autoregressive distributed lagged (NARDL) models reveals the complex and asymmetric effects of Underval on economic growth across different economies for the period 1984-2022. In developing countries, particularly those with floating exchange rate regimes, undervaluation can enhance economic performance by boosting exports and attracting foreign investment. However, in developing countries with fixed exchange rate regimes, undervaluation poses significant challenges and can lead to negative economic outcomes due to the rigidity and financial burdens associated with maintaining a fixed exchange rate. Conversely, developed countries and emerging markets exhibit a more muted response to underval, reflecting their greater economic stability and resilience. These findings highlight the importance of tailoring exchange rate policies to each country's specific economic context and exchange rate regime to optimize their impact on economic growth.

Regional Economic Development Research
Federal University Lafia (NG), Eastern Mediterranean University (CY), Near East University (CY)
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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Does Exchange Rate Undervaluation Have a Symmetric or Asymme-tric Effect on Economic Growth? — Abdulkareem Alhassan, Mehdi Seraj, et al. · Regional Economic Development Research (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS