THE SPATIAL LINKAGES BETWEEN INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND SECURITY: THE EMPIRICAL FINDINGS FROM TURKEY HOSTING MOST REFUGEE IN THE WORLD

The increasing international migration in the world, especially due to the conflict, have potential negative impacts in immigrant countries. An increase in crime rates caused by unemployed immigrants who cannot meet their food and housing needs is one of them. Accordingly, the study investigates the effects of international immigrants, whose numbers reached about 3,9 million in Turkey, on violent and financial crime rates. The Spatial Error Panel Model with Fixed Effects covering Turkey’s 26 NUTS-II regions and 2016-2019 period indicate that there are positive and statistically significant relationships between immigrants and these crime rates. However, the negative impacts of international migration on security are mainly observed in financial crimes rather than violent crimes. Furthermore, the most important determinants of these crimes are high food and housing costs. And also, there is a negative relationship between uneducated employment and financial crimes rather than violent crimes. On the other hand, the findings indicate that regions have spatial dependency positively in terms of violent crimes. It means that as average violent crimes increase in the neighbors of a region, the violent crimes of that region also increase.