Forecasting land utilization of India and Maharashtra using ARIMA model

India is an agricultural country with Maharashtra state as its major contributor to the agriculture sector. In agriculture, land is the most important component. Hence, the land utilization pattern of India and Maharashtra state has been studied during this analysis over the past 11 years (2011-2022). The ACF (Auto Correlation Function) and PACF (Partial Auto Correlation Function) were calculated for the data. The future aspect of land by forecasting land utilization for the next 10 years has been done by using the Appropriate Box-Jenkins ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model. The forecasted results show an increase in some categories of land and a decrease in other categories, while for some land there were no changes occurred. This land forecasting will play a major role in the development and planning of agriculture and other allied sectors of India as well as Maharashtra state.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Agriculture Extension and Social Development
Published
2024-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.33545/26180723.2024.v7.i10c.1201
Primary Topic
Agricultural Economics and Practices
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Forecasting land utilization of India and Maharashtra using ARIMA model

Manish Sawant, RS Jachak, OM Gawas, P. V. Phadte et al.
International Journal of Agriculture Extension and Social Development
Agricultural Economics and Practices
article

Forecasting land utilization of India and Maharashtra using ARIMA model

Manish Sawant, RS Jachak, OM Gawas, P. V. Phadte, TV Navghare
article en

Abstract

India is an agricultural country with Maharashtra state as its major contributor to the agriculture sector. In agriculture, land is the most important component. Hence, the land utilization pattern of India and Maharashtra state has been studied during this analysis over the past 11 years (2011-2022). The ACF (Auto Correlation Function) and PACF (Partial Auto Correlation Function) were calculated for the data. The future aspect of land by forecasting land utilization for the next 10 years has been done by using the Appropriate Box-Jenkins ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model. The forecasted results show an increase in some categories of land and a decrease in other categories, while for some land there were no changes occurred. This land forecasting will play a major role in the development and planning of agriculture and other allied sectors of India as well as Maharashtra state.

International Journal of Agriculture Extension and Social DevelopmentVol. 7(10)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Agricultural Economics and Practices
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