Stirring digital innovation in wood waste upcycling: system dynamics as a circular design decision-making methodology

Abstract The urgency to reduce climate-changing emissions and natural resources exploitation is pushing architecture and industrial design to explore viable options to innovate current practices on material use. In forest-based industries, in particular, wood upcycling is emerging as a pivotal investigation field, with a specific research agenda aimed at reducing the impacts generated by the rising demand of timber products and the actual incineration and landfilling rates. Indeed, the development of new technological solutions needs to account for energy and material flows, as well as for the environmental impacts and social and economic dynamics. Such a new complexity pushes towards a design approach that links digital technologies to circularity goals for a more comprehensive understanding of the forest-based resource management and the evalutation of alternative scenarios. In this paper, we propose System Dynamics (SD) as a methodology to provide a qualitative and quantitative framework to promote digital circular innovation in the wood industry. SD is a dynamic, multi-scale, multi-dimension and site-specific decision-making support tool wich helps designers, researchers and industrial stakeholders to understand and simulate the dynamic behavior and performances of complex systems within specific time and space parameters. The proposed SD for wood waste upcycling allows to model “stock and flow” scenarios, to simulate and compare the consequences of technological options on the system and to target their development in time - and space-based projections. This study outlines the first advances for the SD application to the Italian wood industry, and examines the consequences of the application of different circular strategies on a “business-as-usual” scenario.