Game model of high-speed railway delay and passenger choice behavior under incomplete information

The arrival status of high-speed trains is an important factor affecting the choice behavior of railway passengers. In order to specifically analyze the influence of the arrival state of high-speed trains on the choice behavior of railway passengers, evolutionary game theory was used to analyze the arrival state of high-speed trains and the choice behavior of railway passengers, and the game matrix of the arrival state of high-speed trains and the choice behavior of railway passengers was constructed. The location of the equilibrium point and the system evolution mechanism are deeply analyzed. Matlab simulation results show that the evolutionary game behavior finally has two evolutionary stable states. When high-speed trains delay time is less than 30 min , the train tends to arrive on time, and the railway passengers tend to choose the ride strategy. When the delay time is greater than 30min, the train tends to arrive on time, and the railway passengers tend to choose the refund strategy. By improving the facilities in the high-speed railway station, the railway passengers can choose the transfer strategy. Changing the value of the game parameters can adjust the evolution direction of both sides of the game and effectively improve the proportion of railway passengers when the high-speed train is delayed.