A consistent estimator for confounding strength

Regression on observational data can fail to capture a causal relationship in the presence of unobserved confounding. Confounding strength measures this mismatch, but estimating it requires itself additional assumptions. A common assumption is the independence of causal mechanisms, which relies on concentration phenomena in high dimensions. While high dimensions enable the estimation of confounding strength, they also necessitate adapted estimators. In this paper, we derive the asymptotic behavior of the confounding strength estimator by Janzing and Schölkopf (2018) and show that it is generally not consistent. We then use tools from random matrix theory to derive an adapted, consistent estimator.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematical Statistics and Learning
Published
2024-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4171/msl/47
Primary Topic
Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A consistent estimator for confounding strength

Debarghya Ghoshdastidar, Leena Chennuru Vankadara, Luca Rendsburg, Ulrike von Luxburg
Mathematical Statistics and Learning
Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
article

A consistent estimator for confounding strength

Debarghya Ghoshdastidar, Leena Chennuru Vankadara, Luca Rendsburg, Ulrike von Luxburg
article en

Abstract

Regression on observational data can fail to capture a causal relationship in the presence of unobserved confounding. Confounding strength measures this mismatch, but estimating it requires itself additional assumptions. A common assumption is the independence of causal mechanisms, which relies on concentration phenomena in high dimensions. While high dimensions enable the estimation of confounding strength, they also necessitate adapted estimators. In this paper, we derive the asymptotic behavior of the confounding strength estimator by Janzing and Schölkopf (2018) and show that it is generally not consistent. We then use tools from random matrix theory to derive an adapted, consistent estimator.

Mathematical Statistics and LearningVol. 7(3)
Technical University of Munich (DE), University of Tübingen (DE)
International Max Planck Research School for Environmental, Cellular and Molecular Microbiology, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung, International Max Planck Research School for Advanced Methods in Process and Systems Engineering
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
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A consistent estimator for confounding strength — Debarghya Ghoshdastidar, Leena Chennuru Vankadara, et al. · Mathematical Statistics and Learning (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS