Agroclimatic Assessment of the Overwintering Period of Winter Wheat in the Central Black Earth Economic Region

This study was conducted in order to identify the most significant, in terms of influence, agroclimatic indicators of the overwintering period for winter wheat in the territories of the regions that are part of the Central Black Earth Economic Region. For this purpose, meteorological data on average, minimum and maximum air temperature, precipitation and snow cover height for the period from 1993 to 2022 were used, and a correlation and regression analysis of the dependence of the yield of this crop on the calculated indicators was carried out. During the analysis, statistically significant dependences of winter wheat yield on a number of agroclimatic indicators of the overwintering period were considered, revealed when using the Fisher criterion and estimating the P-values of the coefficients of the regression equation. According to the results of the analysis, the most significant indicators of the overwintering period are: the average air temperature for the coldest month and the coldest five-day period, the duration of the period between the dates of a steady transition of air temperature through 0℃ in autumn and spring, as well as the sum of negative air temperatures between these dates. The results obtained can potentially be more visible when using a larger amount of data, as well as when performing multiple regression.